
Sunday, July 27, 2008
Friday, July 25, 2008
Building A Winner: Obama's Superior November Strategy...

I have read countless articles in recent days from the Washington punditry marveling at the relative tightness of national polls. The thought process goes something like this:
The Democrats lead in every relevant political metric.... Obama is an uber-charismatic candidate on a groundbreaking mission... while McCain is boring candidate in his 70's that looks a lot like Bob Dole redux.. The public perception is that the Democrats would be better on the economy, better on Iraq, better on the environment and the list goes on....
Given these factor the press wonders how Obama's lead in the average of national polls is a mere 4.8%. There are number of factors that play into the relative closeness of the recent polling data that might be discussed on this blog at a later date if Obama hasn't busted this thing open by mid September. I suspect Obama will win a decisive victory with something in the range of 53%.
Current polling trends seem to indicate that McCain has begun to close on Obama in some of the key battle ground states... Colorado, Minnesota and Ohio have all tightened in the last two weeks. Pundits have credited an aggressive McCain TV ad campaign with helping the Arizona Senator pull close. In response the Obama camp has raised it's television buys in many markets.
In 1996 President Clinton's tops political advisor Dick Morris developed an aggressive ad strategy targeting important political markets that were just under the radar. The ad buys took places in areas that would not raise red flags inside the beltway. This allowed Clinton to talk to the electorate of key states without altering an army of Republican political operatives who would have crafted a counter attack. On the strength of Morris' stealth and a developing economy Clinton handled his Republican opponent without breaking a sweat.
The dicey thing about national political strategies is that a "trick play" only works once. I'm no more than an armchair political observer and I know about Morris' brilliant move. Think about the countless hours that the political operatives and cable news talking heads have spent pouring over the minutest details of the '96 contest.
I bring up The Clinton/Morris model because I think something similar is afoot in the 2008 Obama campaign. While the McCain team counties to call plays from the conventional general election playbook buying ads in swing markets the Obama camp is trying something different.
A recent Boston Globe article detailed the Obama camps swing state strategy. In two words: paid staffers. Obama's top political strategist David Axelrod and his surrogates have allocated large amounts of campaign cash to construct an army of Obama operatives on the ground in Florida, Ohio, Michigan and Pennsylvania. Of course paid staffers are nothing new, McCain has his fair share on the ground in these states. What makes Obama's play unique is the sheer number of operatives the campaign employs. In the aforementioned states Obama is building staffs of 250-300 full time operatives. Such numbers are unheard of in prior political campaigns.
The process of hiring, implementing and paying the enormous staff of operatives is in part responsible for the relative closeness of the national polls. Axelrod is building a team that will hit its stride post convention when most undecided voters will make their minds. While McCain narrows the polls spending his money on TV ads Obama is putting together a get-out-the-vote infrastructure the likes of which we have never seen.
In September when general election financing guidelines kick in Senator McCain will be at a huge finical disadvantage as he has opted to take federalized election funding. This means he will be given $89 million dollars to finance his campaign. The rub is he is only allowed to spend $89 million dollars. Months back Senator Obama decided to opt out of federal financing opting to foot the bill through his impressive fundraising machine. Obama's choice allows him to raise and spend unlimited funds during the general election season. This in theory should allow the Illinois Senator to match McCain dollar for dollar on the air waves while overwhelming the Republican with his vastly superior ground operation.
In the post election coverage pay attention to analysis around Obama's superior ground operation being the difference in tight states. Remember that while McCain was narrowing the polling gap in August Obama was constructing the vehicle to drive away with the win in November. Pay attention to it now because in 2012 both parties will have obscene numbers of paid staff in swing states. Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee better be paying attention...
Wednesday, July 23, 2008
Say Hello to the Suckiest Suck that Ever Sucked...

It's the Worst DH in Baseball History.....
Let's bat him clean up and see what happens....
we're only 24 games under .500 you say....
Sweet lets keep him there and hope he get enough AB's to vest his option so he can bat 4th for us again next year...
and we can give him 9 million dollars a year to do it...
You Gota Love the Lincoln, Armstrong, Riggleman Era...
Tuesday, July 22, 2008
and the most underated move of the off season is...

A Day At The Beach
Tuesday, July 15, 2008
There's a New Way to Spell Over Paid...

Withdrawals...
Monday, July 14, 2008
Progress is a Painfully Slow Process... and I Have a Splitting Headache...
Are you kidding me??? This is the cover of the latest issue of The New Yorker... this is the world we live in???? - Think what you will about his policy ideas... but debate them on the merits...
- Think what you will of him as man... but use Dr. King's metric: the content of his character... not his skin color or a peculiar middle name...
Oh The Audacity
Wednesday, July 9, 2008
From The Guy Who Brought Us "Hymietown"
Apparently Jesse Jackson Wants to Cut off Obama's Nuts... I Guess that's a sex change we can all believe in.... Obama: Nuts Still Intact and Primed to be President
In February when Barrack Obama was in the process of reeling off 11 straight primary wins, Tennessee's Senior Senator Republican Mitch McConnel told the following joke at a party fundraiser:The Democratic Primaries features a New York Senator who was born in Illinois and an Illinois Senator who was apparently born in a manger....
The joke was funny though painfully time sensitive as March brought about a heavy Clinton smear offensive which served to stagger the eventual nominee...
Despite Senator Clinton's efforts to blunt the Obama insurgency, the Illinois Senator appears primed to capture the White House (though 4 month is an eternity and a half in political time) Nonetheless its time to look at the pro & cons of the man who would be king...
Pro:
- Jesse Jackson wants to cut his nuts off
- Magnanimous personality
- Historical ramifications
Cons:
- Jesse Jackson might cut his nuts off
- Questionable foreign policy credentials
- Four to Eight years of the term Obamaicans
Happy Hunting....
Say Hello to MR. Excitement
Stirring that deep special feeling inside that Republicans and right leaning Independents haven't experienced since the Bob Dole political death march... I mean 1996 Presidential Campaign....But seriously lets take a closer look...
Pros:
- Has a pretty good looking wife whose also a wealthy beer heiress
- Hes not Bush
- Arizona is a fun state
Cons:
- Bad comb over
- Rapidly losing lucidity
- Painfully bad public speaker
Qualities we can all get behind...????
T-Minus 6 Months

To get you through the excruciating break... go with the beer of the Others..
Dharma Fine Ale
It might be old beer but its got the Rodger Workman seal of approval!
Tuesday, July 8, 2008
At Least They Still Have Chris Kamen For Comic Relief...
It doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure out that Elton Brand's apparent move to the 76ers is a huge blow to the L.A. Clippers... The Red Headed step child of Los Angeles basketball just took another kick to the sternum... This is nothing new for a franchise whose star crested with a handful of 1st round playoff defeats... but this one is particularly painful because of how it unfolded... Sunday, July 6, 2008
If This is Sex, I'll Take Abstinence Every Time...
Chew on this... I saw the Sex and the City movie... Breathe deep... your eyes did not deceive you...I didn't leave the house thinking hmm... I'd really like to go see the Sex and the City movie tonight. If it has been premeditated, this would be the point where I would ask you to kick me in the junk. Oh no, it happened far more serendipitously than that. My wife and I went to see Wanted and decided to make it a fivefingerdiscount double feature. Presumably Get Smart was playing in the adjacent theater so we used our ninja stealth to sneak past the highly trained but slightly mentally challenged kid with the red vest and coned flashlight thingy. The joke was on him for about eight seconds... then we found out the Get Smart becomes Sex and the City after 7pm. The tables had turned, the joke was on me. All of the sudden I had woeful flashes of the red vested kid flipping me the bird as I snuck into the 10th circle of hell (forgive Dante' he could never have a imagined a plague as cruel Sarah Jessica Parker would come along).
*So these are the Salient points of my Sex and the City movie experience...
*Sarah Jessica Parker has knocked John Travolta off the perch of celebrity I'd least like to be stuck in an elevator with.
*The ostentatious tool that designed the clothes that apparently tickle the fancy of New York's upper crust metropolitan women needs a good junkpunch.
*Fictional New York is crawling with effeminate men.
*Apparently the core demographics of Sex and the City fans intersect quite nicely with fans of American Pie-ish humor evidenced by an over the top scene focused on Miranda's pubic hair.
The scene goes something like this: The main character Carrie (Sarah Jessica Parker) has been left at the alter by her long time companion "BIG." To Cheer her up her three best friends accompany her on the honeymoon she was suppose to have had with Big. Lounging outside the pool of a posh Mexico resort the camera pans to a less then pleasant shot of how shall I delicately say it... Miranda's (the red head on the far right in the pic at the top of the page) neither regions. Apparently Miranda, a lawyer, quasi socialite and women of high fashion has lost the number of the every salon in New York that does waxing. I'm thinking there also must be a deathly fear of razors involved but that's just an educated guess. Another fact about Miranda is she is separated from her husband who had a one night stand with another women. So the girls start to raz Miranda about her lack of grooming. And after some brutal dialogue I'm working hard to repress Miranda retorts "so I guess you all think its my fault that Steve cheated on me..." without missing a beat a man three rows behind me yells out "hell yeah it's your fault"... at this point I literally lost it for a good three minutes... finally something redemptive...Of course the movie ends with Carrie and BIG getting married... Miranda and Steve rekindling (presumably after a good waxing) and Kim Cattrall revising the role that made her famous in Porky's only this time with a cougar spin... All is right with the world... except for the fact that I spent two plus hours watching that shit... but I paid the price to write this post and to avoid the shame of being caught sneaking out of the film. My pride had taken too many hits already. I didn't dare risk leaving the theater without a hopped up throng of two hundred women to use as human camouflage. I had to hide. After all, the pimply faced kid in the red vest might be looking out for me. I can just imagine his shiteatinggrin. So that was weekend...what you got???
Saturday, July 5, 2008
And the Best News of the Month is....

Friday, July 4, 2008
REcent RaNdom MusIngs
{Pop Culture}Mike Myers has awoken from his long slumber to give us a sitar playing lothario self-help guru. I'm glad to see his time away has catalyzed a career renaissance of sorts. Far be it from me to take pot shots at the guy whose career crested with such an expansive and well developed character such as Wayne Campbell from Wayne's World.
Hmmm...Vern Troyer (MiniMe) is the latest in a string of pseudo celebrities to have a sex tape released to public against his will. Insert pithy entendre here___________________;) (double points if it has to do with male self esteem)
Politics
Obama: Sen. Joe Biden- experienced, foreign policy wonk, ready to be President in a pinch, congenial, good on the stump, interesting, should help with white working class men, would be funny at the white House Press Dinners.
I think McCain will pick Romney and make a big play for Michigan. I suspect Obama's will come down to Biden, Jim Webb and Hilary. The races trajectory in the weeks leading up to the convention will ultimately determine if Obama can pick who he wants or who he might need.
Sports
my 4th of July weekend picks...
-Federer and Serena
-Red Sox 2 of 3 from the Yanks
-Jeff Gordon @ Daytona
-Elton brand to stay w/ the Clips
-Howard Schultz to get creamed in the face by a Carmel Frapachino next time he steps foot in the Emerald City
Nickels and Dimes but No Sonics
The parade of Seattle's political set patting themselves on the back for in essence selling the cities soul for a mere $45 million dollars was the pinnacle of myopic hubris. Imaging Nickels and Co. getting duped by Oklahoma Billionaire Clay Bennett would be kindofsorta assuming if the punch line didn't come at the expense of the cities basketball past, present and future. The City Counsel agreed to deal that assures Key Arena's economic solvency in the short in short run. Never mind the fact that the aging building has now lost it's two major tenants (Sonics and T-Birds) in a number of months. Congratulations Mayor Nickles you've paid off a useless building.
A number of months back Seattle City Councilmen Nick Licata famously stated that the Seattle Supersonics "add no value to the community." One wonders if Licata has changed his tune as he stood on the stage Wednesday having bartered away a Seattle Institution for roughly the value of Bill Gates Lake Washington home. After all there are countless ways Licata and friends could piss away 45 million dollars (but that deserves its own post).
For 41 years the Supersonics were a core thread in the cities fabric. Seattle's first professional sports franchise, the Sonics organization was a symbol of civic pride and a force within the community. Through various charity endeavors like SonicsCare and the summer time staple Jammin' Hoops Camp the organization was an integral part of making Seattle a better place.
In recent weeks Seattle Icon Sherman Alexi has emerged as a prominent voice in Sonicsfandom. Alexi, an acclaimed author and filmmaker and possibly the cities most famous living Native American has spoken passionately about the value the Sonics add to the community. In a recent radio interview Alexi noted the high level of diversity found at Sonics games. A level of diversity that not only spans race but also age, class and socioeconomic backgrounds. The Sonics offered a space for people of various stripes to come together and enjoy a shared passion. I can think of no other Seattle institution that spans so many barriers in such a profound way.
The bottom line of this whole thing is loss. Sonics fans have lost their team. Kids have lost of their Sonic hero's. The city of Seattle has lost part of it's charm, some it's zest and a little of it's soul. Now it's time for Greg Nickels, Nick Licata and their cronies to lose their jobs.
Nice Work Greg Nickels... You've paid off a $45 million dollar pothole in the middle of Seattle Center... See you at the ballot box...








